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Election prediction 2010 - Conservative clear majority!
by Dave Broadway

Election 2010

 
It's an election year, and it has coincided with HTMail launching our new Opinion Poll and Survey service. The new service allows you to quickly and simply build a survey or poll, and then present it to your chosen audience. Well, as it is an election year, we have tested it by running an opinion poll on the election!

We asked:

  1. Who do you normally vote for
  2. Who do you think would make the best prime minister for the UK
  3. Which party do you intend to vote for
  4. Who do you rate as the best leader of the Conservative party - David Cameron or Margaret Thatcher
  5. Who do you rate as the best leader of the Labour party - Gordon Brown or Tony Blair
  6. Who do you rate as the best leader of the Liberal Democrat party - Nick Clegg or Paddy Ashdown
  7. Did you watch the first leaders debate
  8. Who do you think won the first debate
  9. Do you believe that BBC, ITV, Channel 4 or Sky News programs are biased towards the election
  10. Is our current political system fair
  11. What would you prefer to see: Conservative/Labour/Liberal Democrat majority government or a hung parliament
  12. If there is a hung parliament would you prefer to see a Lib/Lab pact or a Lib/Cons pact
The results have been somewhat surprising in comparison to some polls from other polling organisations, and have backed up the results of others.

Who do you think would make the best prime minister for the UK

David Cameron 46.6%
Nick Clegg 32.5%
Gordon Brown 20.9%

Who do you intend to vote for

Conservative 33.5%
Liberal Democrat 20.5%
Labour 15.4%
Other 14.6%
Don't Know 16.1%

Preferred Result

A Conservative majority 37.0%
A Liberal Democrat majority 24.4%
A Labour majority 17.6%
A hung parliament 21.0%

If there is a hung parliament would you prefer:

A Lib/Con pact 70.5%
A Lib/Lab pact 29.5%

Winner of the first leaders debate

Nick Clegg 77.0%
David Cameron 15.5%
Gordon Brown 7.5%

As you can see, many of the results fly against other polls, and it will be interesting to compare with the actual results on May 6th!

We are making all of the results available online, and you can download the full spreadsheet in Excel format here.

April 2010

Page Copyright (c) HTMail Marketing 2010 http://www.htmail.com all rights reserved. You may freely distribute or publish this article provided you publish the whole article and include this copyright notice and links in full.

 

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